World Economic Outlook (October 2026) - Real GDP growth - International Monetary Fund | IMF
World Economic Outlook (October 2026) - Real GDP growth - International Monetary Fund | IMF
Source: International Monetary Fund | IMF
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DW NOTE
The IMF projects global growth while the Strait of Hormuz sits closed, oil trades at $101, and the Fed weighs a rate hike into an energy shock. Either the Fund's models don't include shipping chokepoints, or they assume problems that strangle 20% of global oil supply resolve themselves on schedules convenient to forecasters.