World Economic Outlook (October 2026) - Real GDP growth - International Monetary Fund | IMF
World Economic Outlook (October 2026) - Real GDP growth - International Monetary Fund | IMF
Source: International Monetary Fund | IMF
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DW NOTE
The IMF published GDP forecasts while tankers burn in the Strait of Hormuz and the Fed tightens into a supply shock. Growth models that don't price active interdiction of 30% of seaborne oil flows aren't forecasts — they're the institutional median of assumptions made before the assumptions broke.