World Economic Outlook (October 2026) - GDP, current prices - International Monetary Fund | IMF

World Economic Outlook (October 2026) - GDP, current prices - International Monetary Fund | IMF

Source: International Monetary Fund | IMF

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DW NOTE

The IMF's October GDP projections land amid the Strait of Hormuz closure and WTI at $103. If their baseline assumes the Strait reopens, the numbers are fiction. If it doesn't, they're using an oil price assumption that's already obsolete. Either way, GDP forecasts during a supply shock are just storytelling with decimal points.

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