The GDPNow Final Estimate for 2026 Q2 GDP Is 1.5 Percent

The GDPnow estimate is 1.5 percent vs the Econoday consensus of 2.3 percent.

Source: Mish Talk

DW NOTE

The Atlanta Fed's nowcast is tracking 80 basis points below consensus. That gap matters: GDPNow updates on hard data weekly while Wall Street estimates drift on sentiment and lag. When the model that actually ingests shipment volumes and retail receipts is this far below the survey of economists still anchoring to 2.3%, someone's still pricing last quarter's economy.

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