macro

Rising debt revives fears of fiscal dominance - Finance & Commerce

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DW NOTE

The US has run trillion-dollar deficits in every year since 2019 while Treasury yields have doubled. The Fed holds $7 trillion in government debt on its balance sheet and cannot materially tighten without triggering a funding crisis. That's not a fear of fiscal dominance — it's the structural reality already in place.

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For the first four months of the war between the United States and Israel and Iran, oil traders remained largely bearish. The overwhelming expectation was that the war would end soon—even as July rolled around—and oil flows out of Hormuz would recover. Instead, the world is slipping into a fuel shor

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